DOCNO:
PRODUCER:
SOURCE:
DOCTYPE:
DOR:
TOP:
DOCPREC:
ORIGDATE:
MIIFNO:
DOCCLASS:
CAVEATS:
8
2
CIA
CIA
3
NOFORN,NOCONTRACT,ORCON
ClA S
/ /
SECRET
ILITARY
U?ID
CT 89
CONTROLS
SECRET NOFORN HOCOHTRACT2 TO: CIA REP
TEXT
SUBJECT: WARNING AND FORECAST REPORT: SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA |U>
1, THE FOLLOWING HIO/AF WARNING AND FORECAST REPORT IS FORWARDED FOR YOUR INFORMATION. APPROPRIATE US MILITARY OFFICIALS AND OFFICERS ARE AUTHORIZED REVIEW AND USE CF THIS MATERIAL WITHIN THEIR COMMANDS. YOU SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE VIEWS EXPRESSED IN THIS WARNING AND FORECAST REPORT ARE THE UNOFFICIAL VIEWS OF INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY REPRESENTATIVES.
AT THEIR MONTHLY MEETING OHCTOBER, COMMUNITY REPRESENTATIVES AGREED THAT:
Page 1
IS STILL NO HARD EVIDENCEPECIFIC TERRORIST GROUP TO LAST MONTH'S BOMBING OF UTA FLIGHT . BECAUSE OF LAX AIRPORT SECURITY, SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA MAY BECOME MORE ATTRACTIVE TO TERRORISTS FOR SUCH ATTACKS AGAINST WESTERN TARGETS.
DISCUSSION:
Page 2
WHICH HAS POOR AIRPORT SECURITY, THIS HAS HOT BEEN DETERMINED WITH COMF1PENCE- THE DEVICE KAY HAVE HAD AN ALTIMETER TRIGGER SIMILAR TO THAT USED III THE BOM3ING OF.
TWO CALLS--TO THE UTA OFFICE IN PARISRESS OFFICE IH LONDON--CLAIMED CREDIT FOR THE ISLAMIC JIHAD. THE LONDON CALLER SAID THE BOMBING WAS IN RETALIATION FOR THE FRENCH ROLE INf SHAYKH UBAYD. U3SEOUENT LETTER FROM THE CHADIAN RESISTAHCE IN BEIRUT CLAIMED THE BOMBING WAS AIMED AT REMOVING THE FRENCH FROM CHAD.
THERE IS NO HARD EVIDENCE LINKING ANY GROUP TO THE BOMBING. PRIMARY SUSPECTS INCLUDE RADICAL SHIAINCLUDINGPOPULAR FRONT FOR THE LIBERATION OF PALESTINE-GENERAL COMMAND, AND LIBYA. THE FORMERETWORK IN PLACE--INVOLVING SOME OF THE LARGE LEBANESE SHIA POPULATION IN WESTSUSPICIOUS ACTIVITY BY LIBYAN OPERATIVESERVED BEFORE AND AFTER THE INCIDENT. LIBYAN INVOLVEMENT COULD INDICATE RESUMPTION OF LIBYAN SUBVERSION IN AFRICA BECAUSE IT IS AN EASY ENVIRONMENT IH WHICH TO STRIKE AT WESTERN TARGETS - THS INCIDENT HAS STRAINED FRENCH RELATIONS WITH CHAD AND CONGO, ESPECIALLY BECAUSE OF ALLEGATIONS OF LAX AIRPORT SECURITY.
3.DE
T.HD OF MESSAGE
7
Original document.
Comment about this article, ask questions, or add new information about this topic: